Crime Analysis and Crime Trends Essay

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The crime trend for this jurisdiction is increasing in 5 of 7 areas and that the crime rate in one area is even, while the trend is down in one area, as well. Robberies are up the most with a rise of 44% year over year. The area in which crime is up the second most is in homicides, with the rate rising 40% year over year. Aggravated assaults are up 35% while burglaries are up 10% and larceny is up 9%. Motor vehicle thefts are even and forcible rape is down 17%. Overall, there is more crime in the jurisdiction this year than there was the previous year.

Missing Information

Information that is missing that might explain some of the increases include how many Part II crimes were committed in the same jurisdiction, as this would help to give a more complete picture. Other data would include external factors such as: what is the state of the economy in the jurisdiction, what is the demographic—i.e., has the population changed at all (who are the victims or who is committing the crime). As Lopez (2016) notes, other factors could include whether or not gang activity is on the rise, whether or not there is more activity in the jurisdiction in terms of people coming and going, businesses opening or closing, and more opportunities for crime being made possible.

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Other information that could be useful is the number of crimes estimated to go unreported along with the number of attempted crimes reported. For instance, were there reports of attempted rape, attempted burglary, attempted motor vehicle theft, and so on. It would also be helpful to know where these crimes were committed, at what time of day, whether the perpetrators were apprehended, and who the victims were. This information would be useful in explaining the crime increases because it might shed some light on when the area is most vulnerable and whether there is a lack of policing involved at that time of day or in that region that might make crime rates higher in these areas.

Still more information that could be useful are theories such as broken windows theory and models like community policing: what is the condition of the community like—is it in a state where crime is more likely to take place because there is little upkeep in the neighborhood? If so, broken windows theory could explain….....

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