Housing Bubble Essay

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Housing Bubbles Contagious?

Like the sudden collapse of publically traded internet technology stocks in the year 2000 which was its predecessor, the speculative real estate bubble that peaked in 2006 and deflated with such sudden and devastating scope was viewed by many as a calamitous, but largely unforeseeable, confluence of catastrophic economic circumstances. Economic theorists and other researchers have begun the arduous process of debunking that self-perpetuating myth, however, by precisely analyzing the complex network of financial, social and political variables which dictate the artificial inflation, and resulting drastic deflation, of residential property prices. Mary Riddel, an associate professor in the University of Nevada, Las Vegas' Department of Economics, recently authored a report examining concept of interconnectedness between neighboring urban centers entitled Are Housing Bubbles Contagious? A Case Study of Las Vegas and Los Angeles Home Prices. Published in the scholarly journal Land Economics, Riddel's comprehensive study of the intricate cause and effect governing housing prices in neighboring cities establishes a mathematical model and applies "the model to a pair of cities that experienced rapid price appreciation and dramatic subsequent decline in homes prices: Los Angeles (the urban core) and Las Vegas (the peripheral market)" (2011).
Her careful approach and precise methodology produces clear numerical data supporting her initial hypothesis that "models based solely on prices are atheoretical and, as such, fail to adequately capture the dynamics of prices within the market structure from which they originate" and "fail to account for other endogenous market variables that are necessary for cointegration" (Riddel, 2011).

What has come to be known infamously as the housing and foreclosure bubble represents more than a routine market correction, or even a series of anomalous statistical oddities; it has become a lasting monument to the collective hubris and overwhelming avarice of the nation's….....

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