Plan to Win Term Paper

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Nugent, John H. (2001) Plan to Win: Analytical and Operational Tools. Second Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill.

Plan to Win: Analytical and Operational Tools makes a stunning and bold claim to its readers. In today's economic state of hand-wringing and repentance by financial analysts, it is almost dogma that the economic bust and recession of recent years could not have been predicted by the ordinary investor, given the financial chicanery of accountants and the over-enthusiasm expressed by technicians about the glories of the internet. However, Nugent alleges that such accepted financial wisdom is in fact false. Nugent states that indeed, in the dot.com financial world it was difficult to distinguish between real and false wealth. But "by keeping an eye on the vital few" rather than the insignificant many, one might have still enabled one's self to keep financially afloat, if one remained sufficiently aware and educated about the market. (Nugent, citing "Pareto's Rule," 4)

Critical to Nugent's theoretical overview is the conception of what he terms 'inflection points.' Inflection points refer to managerial decisions as they might and will impact the present environmental conditions.

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Such managerial decisions lead to logical, determinable consequences for the ordinary investor, states the author, consequences that can be predicted if companies' development stages are properly monitored. When manager's decisions are in disharmony with the economic factors that drive supply and demand in the market one's business is operating, inflection points are the result. Inflection points thus signal a shift in the underlying business market. Individuals who correctly identify these shifts in inflection points can keep their money ahead, rather than behind or with the overall business cycle.

Nugent acknowledges that ordinary investors are often at a disadvantage in interpreting such data, given the positive spin corporate accounting and advertising departments give to their legally required, financial disclosures. Nugent tries to draw attention to the financial basics of any given corporate structure through examining test cases, such as AT&T, rather than facts and figures from a purely statistical point-of-view. Nugent astutely pinpoints what figures are of value and of use to investors, rather than simply….....

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